Yale Study Indicates Number of Illegal Migrants May Exceed 22 Million
Segment # 212
The government has certainly not been introspective when it comes to analyzing errors in judgment. Illegal migration is a topic that is particularly sensitive because, just considering the border from 2020 until now, a secure border has purposefully not existed. In my judgment, the problems associated with illegal migration have been accepted by the left to recruit more Democrat voters. Maybe even the Dems over-played their hand, because you, the taxpayers, have to pay, not only for the process of getting them here through the UN’s IOM, but also for all government services after they arrive. Illegal migrants have had a serious negative impact on our health services, education, law enforcement, housing, and our economy. Nobody has any idea how much these costs will expand in the future, but there are communities now that are at the breaking point. Biden, Mayorkas, Harris, Shumar, Pelosi have all lied about the border, and you are and will pay for it.
Yale Study Indicates Number of Illegal Migrants May Exceed 22 Million
Key points made by in the study:
The researchers used mathematical modeling and demographic data to arrive at this estimate
The study suggests a range of 16.5 million to 29.1 million undocumented immigrants, with 22.1 million as the mean
This new estimate does not indicate a recent surge in illegal immigration, but rather suggests that the population has been historically underestimated (Wow, clearly there was a recent surge)
The study employed a different methodology compared to traditional estimates, which are primarily based on survey data from the U.S. Census Bureau
The researchers highlight limitations in previous estimation methods, particularly the challenges of locating and getting truthful responses from undocumented immigrants in surveys
If accurate, this higher estimate would imply that about one out of every nine people living in the U.S. is here illegally
The study's findings show a similar trend in population growth as previous estimates, with a surge in the 1990s followed by a plateau after 2007
The researchers emphasize that their goal was to provide more accurate information, not to influence politics or policy
It's important to note that this study has sparked debate among demographers and immigration experts, with some questioning the validity of the much higher estimates
The findings challenge long-held assumptions about the scale of undocumented immigration in the United States and could have significant implications for policy debates and resource allocation related to immigration issues.
Yale study finds U.S. illegal immigrant population ‘substantially larger’ than previous estimates
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/sep/24/yale-study-finds-us-illegal-immigrant-population-s/
Professors at Yale University have roiled the immigration debate with a new study calculating there are between 16 million and 30 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. — as much as three times more than most demographers figure.
The professors’ model looked at estimates of how many people came illegally, and how many people likely left, and concluded there are a lot more people who arrived than the 11 million suggested by traditional estimates. The model says the most likely figure is double that, at about 22 million.
If true, the numbers would mean U.S. officials have done a poorer job of catching illegal immigrants than imagined, and that one out of every nine people living in the U.S. is here illegally.
Yale Study: Twice as Many Undocumented Immigrants as Previously Thought in U.S.
https://www.nationalreview.com/news/immigration-study-finds-nearly-twice-as-many-undocumented/
U.S. Border Patrol personnel take illegal immigrants from Honduras into custody in Falfurrias, Texas, June 19, 2018
A new Yale study has concluded that the population of undocumented immigrants in the U.S. is close to double the generally accepted estimate.
The population of undocumented immigrants is widely thought to be around 11.3 million. But the study, which was conducted by three Yale-affiliated researchers, indicates that the total may be more than 22 million. Even the authors were surprised by their findings.
“Our original idea was just to do a sanity check on the existing number,” said one of the study’s authors, Edward Kaplan, a professor of operations research at the Yale School of Management. “Instead of a number which was smaller, we got a number that was 50 percent higher. That caused us to scratch our heads.”
“There’s a number that everybody quotes, but when you actually dig down and say, ‘What is it based on?’ You find it’s based on one very specific survey and possibly an approach that has some difficulties. So we went in and just took a very different approach,” said another of the study’s authors, Jonathan Feinstein, a professor of Economics and Management.
To arrive at their estimate, the authors used operational data such as deportations and visa overstays as well as demographic data such as death rates and immigration rates.
“We combined these data using a demographic model that follows a very simple logic,” Kaplan said. “The population today is equal to the initial population plus everyone who came in minus everyone who went out. It’s that simple.”
“The analysis we’ve done can be thought of as estimating the size of a hidden population,” he added. “People who are undocumented immigrants are not walking around with labels on their foreheads. . . . There are very few numbers we can point to and say, ‘This is carved in stone.'”
The researchers said their goal in crunching the numbers was not a political one.
“We wouldn’t want people to walk away from this research thinking that suddenly there’s a large influx happening now,” Feinstein commented. “It’s really something that happened in the past and maybe was not properly counted or documented.”
Yale, MIT study: 22 million, not 11 million, undocumented immigrants in US
The undocumented population in the United States could be twice as large as the most commonly-used estimate, according to a research study published Friday in the scientific journal Plos One.
The paper, led by Mohammad M. Fazel-Zarandi, a researcher at Yale and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, estimates there are 22.1 million undocumented immigrants in the United States.
Fazel-Zarandi’s study compared inflows and outflows of immigrants as well as demographic data. According to the report, the number of undocumented immigrants could be as low as 16.5 million, or as high as 29.1 million.
“We combined these data using a demographic model that follows a very simple logic,” Edward Kaplan, a co-author of the report, told Yale Insights. “The population today is equal to the initial population plus everyone who came in minus everyone who went out. It’s that simple.”
Immigration is the focus of fierce political and policy debate in the United States. Among the most contentious issues is how the country should address undocumented immigrants. Like a tornado that won’t dissipate, arguments have spun around and around for years. At the center, lies a fairly stable and largely unquestioned number: 11.3 million undocumented immigrants residing in the U.S. But a paper by three Yale-affiliated researchers suggests all the perceptions and arguments based on that number may have a faulty foundation; the actual population of undocumented immigrants residing in the country is much larger than that, perhaps twice as high, and has been underestimated for decades.
Using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, the researchers estimate there are 22.1 million undocumented immigrants in the United States. Even using parameters intentionally aimed at producing an extremely conservative estimate, they found a population of
16.7 million undocumented immigrants.